Podbeskidzie v Pogoń Siedlce Prediction & Expected Goals (9 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPodbeskidzie to win ✓63% · @1.80

Double chancePodbeskidzie or draw ✓84% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the I Liga brings Podbeskidzie against Pogoń Siedlce at Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Podbeskidzie are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Siedlce are 10th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Podbeskidzie, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Třinec, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Arka Gdynia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pogoń Siedlce, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Podbeskidzie.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Podbeskidzie 1.7 xG, Pogoń Siedlce 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Podbeskidzie 63%, draw 21%, Pogoń Siedlce 16%.
Lower-risk option: Podbeskidzie or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Podbeskidzie to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Podbeskidzie or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podbeskidzie 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Podbeskidzie63%fair 1.60 · @1.80

Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40

Pogoń Siedlce16%fair 6.15 · @3.75

2.47Expected goals

1.74Podbeskidzie xG

0.73Pogoń Siedlce xG

54%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–013%

1–111%

2–19%

0–08%

3–07%

From our goals model: Podbeskidzie 1.7 – 0.7 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Podbeskidzie to win ✓	63%	1.60	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Podbeskidzie or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	1.67
Draw no bet	Podbeskidzie (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Podbeskidzie -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	–
First team to score	Podbeskidzie to score first ✓	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Podbeskidzie ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Podbeskidzie / FT Podbeskidzie ✓	38%	2.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.70	–

Podbeskidzie – last 6

LDDDLL

2 Oct	vs Třinec	0–3	L
20 Sep	vs Unia Skierniewice	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Ruch Chorzów	3–3	D
6 Sep	@ Polonia Bytom	0–0	D
1 Sep	@ Stal Rzeszów	0–3	L
29 Aug	@ Puszcza Niepołomice	0–2	L

0.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Siedlce – last 6

WDDWLW

20 Sep	vs Arka Gdynia	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Chrobry Głogów	0–0	D
1 Sep	@ Kluczevia Stargard	2–2	D
29 Aug	vs Stal Mielec	2–0	W
21 Aug	@ Lechia Gdansk	0–1	L
15 Aug	vs Polonia Warszawa	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

I Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	14	7	4	3	+8	25
2	ŁKS Łódź	14	7	4	3	+5	25
3	Polonia Bytom	14	6	6	2	+4	24
4	Lechia Gdansk	14	7	1	6	+3	22
5	Ruch Chorzów	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Nieciecza	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	Miedz Legnica	14	5	5	4	+7	20
9	Warta Poznań	14	6	1	7	0	19
10	Pogoń Siedlce	14	5	4	5	0	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-8	19
12	Arka Gdynia	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Stal Rzeszów	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Chrobry Głogów	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Podbeskidzie	14	2	9	3	-3	15
16	Puszcza Niepołomice	14	4	2	8	-4	14
17	Unia Skierniewice	14	4	2	8	-6	14
18	Odra Opole	14	3	3	8	-10	12

Team

Pts

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

-8

-7

-2

-3

-4

-6

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Our pick is Podbeskidzie or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?

On our numbers Podbeskidzie have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Siedlce 16%.

How many goals will there be in Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Our predicted score is Podbeskidzie 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Podbeskidzie v Pogoń Siedlce: numbers & prediction