Nieciecza v Puszcza Niepołomice Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNieciecza to win ✓61% · @1.75

Double chanceNieciecza or draw ✓86% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nieciecza welcome Puszcza Niepołomice to Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza for a I Liga fixture on Monday 19 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nieciecza are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Puszcza Niepołomice are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Nieciecza, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Unia Skierniewice, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Puszcza Niepołomice, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pogoń Siedlce, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nieciecza, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Puszcza Niepołomice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.9 xG, Puszcza Niepołomice 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 61%, draw 25%, Puszcza Niepołomice 14%.
Lower-risk option: Nieciecza or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Nieciecza to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nieciecza or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–0 Puszcza Niepołomice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nieciecza61%fair 1.64 · @1.75

Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60

Puszcza Niepołomice14%fair 7.17 · @3.80

2.75Expected goals

1.92Nieciecza xG

0.83Puszcza Niepołomice xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

2–012%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

0–06%

From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.9 – 0.8 Puszcza Niepołomice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nieciecza to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.75 ▲
Double chance	Nieciecza or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.62
Draw no bet	Nieciecza (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Nieciecza -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Nieciecza to score first ✓	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Nieciecza ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✓	40%	2.51	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.22	–

Nieciecza – last 6

DWWWWW

10 Oct	@ Unia Skierniewice	2–2	D
3 Oct	@ Cracovia Krakow	3–2	W
19 Sep	vs Odra Opole	1–0	W
14 Sep	@ Stal Mielec	2–1	W
4 Sep	vs Lechia Gdansk	2–1	W
1 Sep	@ Wigry Suwałki	5–1	W

2.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Puszcza Niepołomice – last 6

WLLLLW

15 Oct	@ Pogoń Siedlce	3–1	W
11 Oct	vs Polonia Bytom	0–1	L
2 Oct	@ Wieczysta Kraków	3–4	L
18 Sep	@ Warta Poznań	2–3	L
11 Sep	vs ŁKS Łódź	1–2	L
1 Sep	@ Wisła Płock II	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

I Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	14	7	4	3	+8	25
2	ŁKS Łódź	14	7	4	3	+5	25
3	Polonia Bytom	14	6	6	2	+4	24
4	Lechia Gdansk	14	7	1	6	+3	22
5	Ruch Chorzów	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Nieciecza	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	Miedz Legnica	14	5	5	4	+7	20
9	Warta Poznań	14	6	1	7	0	19
10	Pogoń Siedlce	14	5	4	5	0	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-8	19
12	Arka Gdynia	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Stal Rzeszów	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Chrobry Głogów	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Podbeskidzie	14	2	9	3	-3	15
16	Puszcza Niepołomice	14	4	2	8	-4	14
17	Unia Skierniewice	14	4	2	8	-6	14
18	Odra Opole	14	3	3	8	-10	12

Team

Pts

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

-8

-7

-2

-3

-4

-6

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Our pick is Nieciecza or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

On our numbers Nieciecza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puszcza Niepołomice 14%.

How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–0 Puszcza Niepołomice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nieciecza v Puszcza Niepołomice: numbers & prediction