Polonia Warszawa 60%Draw 16%Miedz Legnica 24%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.92
60%
Betarazi pick
Polonia Warszawa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Miedz Legnica travel to face Polonia Warszawa on Friday 23 October in the I Liga, with Stadion Polonii the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Polonia Warszawa are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 14 matches; Miedz Legnica are 8th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Miedz Legnica, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stal Mielec, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Miedz Legnica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Warszawa 1.7 xG, Miedz Legnica 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Warszawa 60%, draw 16%, Miedz Legnica 24%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Polonia Warszawa to win (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Miedz Legnica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Warszawa60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.17 · @3.40
Miedz Legnica24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.72Polonia Warszawa xG
0.92Miedz Legnica xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.7 – 0.9 Miedz Legnica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Draw no bet
Polonia Warszawa (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Miedz Legnica +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Polonia Warszawa to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWWWDL
17 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Miedz Legnica – last 6
WLLLLD
17 Oct
vs Stal Mielec
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Odra Opole
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Stal Rzeszów
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Miedz Legnica.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
Our pick is Polonia Warszawa to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Miedz Legnica 24%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Miedz Legnica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
