Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stal Mielec travel to face Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Friday 30 October in the I Liga, with Stadion Miejski the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Stal Mielec are 11th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ruch Chorzów, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Stal Mielec, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chrobry Głogów, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–2 Stal Mielec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.7 xG, Stal Mielec 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 48%, draw 21%, Stal Mielec 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Stal Mielec30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
3.04Expected goals
1.72Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.32Stal Mielec xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.7 – 1.3 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Draw no bet
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Stal Mielec +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stal Mielec 30%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
