Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ruch Chorzów to win @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ruch Chorzów travel to face Pogoń Siedlce on Tuesday 3 November in the I Liga, with Stadion ROSRRiT the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Ruch Chorzów are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tychy 71, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Ruch Chorzów, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Znicz Pruszków, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ruch Chorzów, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Pogoń Siedlce.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Pogoń Siedlce 2–1 Ruch Chorzów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 0.8 xG, Ruch Chorzów 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 18%, draw 21%, Ruch Chorzów 61%.
Lower-risk option: Ruch Chorzów or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Ruch Chorzów to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ruch Chorzów or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Ruch Chorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Siedlce18%fair 5.59 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Ruch Chorzów61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
2.53Expected goals
0.79Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.74Ruch Chorzów xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 0.8 – 1.7 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Ruch Chorzów or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ruch Chorzów 61%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
