Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVålerenga W to win ✗35% · @2.05
Double chanceVålerenga W or draw ✗69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malmö FF W travel to face Vålerenga W on Wednesday 5 August in the UEFA Champions League Women, with Stadion am Brentanobad the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Vålerenga W, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Rosenborg W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Malmö FF W, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Piteå W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vålerenga W 1.4 xG, Malmö FF W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vålerenga W 35%, draw 35%, Malmö FF W 31%.
Lower-risk option: Vålerenga W or draw (69%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vålerenga W or draw (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vålerenga W 1–1 Malmö FF W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vålerenga W35%fair 2.87 · @2.05
Draw35%fair 2.89 · @3.60
Malmö FF W31%fair 3.27 · @2.95
2.88Expected goals
1.43Vålerenga W xG
1.45Malmö FF W xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vålerenga W 1.4 – 1.5 Malmö FF W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vålerenga W
Malmö FF W
Attack vs UEFA Champions League Women average
-15%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.42
Our own ratings from every UEFA Champions League Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vålerenga W to win✗
35%
2.87
2.05
Double chance
Vålerenga W or draw✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Draw no bet
Vålerenga W (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Vålerenga W +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
First team to score
Malmö FF W to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmö FF W / FT Malmö FF W✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
Vålerenga W – last 6
LLLWWW
20 Jun
@ Rosenborg W
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Brann W
0–3
L
31 May
@ Lyn W
0–2
L
26 May
vs Bodø Glimt W
7–1
W
8 May
@ Hønefoss W
3–0
W
29 Apr
vs Stabæk W
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Malmö FF W – last 6
DLWWDW
31 Jul
vs Piteå W
0–0
D
27 Jul
@ Vittsjö W
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Kristianstad W
6–0
W
17 Jun
@ Djurgården W
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Eskilstuna United W
1–1
D
31 May
vs Växjö W
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vålerenga W and Malmö FF W.
What is the prediction for Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
Our pick is Vålerenga W or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
On our numbers Vålerenga W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Malmö FF W 31%.
How many goals will there be in Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
Our predicted score is Vålerenga W 1–1 Malmö FF W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion am Brentanobad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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