Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✗68% · @1.18
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Politehnica UTM v Sheriff Tiraspol in the Super Liga, played at Complexul Sportiv Raional. In the table, Politehnica UTM are 6th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 18 matches; Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Politehnica UTM, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CSF Bălți, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Sheriff Tiraspol, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sireți, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Politehnica UTM 1.0 xG, Sheriff Tiraspol 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Politehnica UTM 13%, draw 19%, Sheriff Tiraspol 68%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Politehnica UTM 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Politehnica UTM13%fair 7.61 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @6.00
Sheriff Tiraspol68%fair 1.47 · @1.18
3.17Expected goals
1.00Politehnica UTM xG
2.17Sheriff Tiraspol xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Politehnica UTM 1.0 – 2.2 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheriff Tiraspol to win✗
68%
1.47
1.18
Double chance
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Sheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Sheriff Tiraspol -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Sheriff Tiraspol to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sheriff Tiraspol ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Politehnica UTM – last 6
LWWWLW
27 Jun
@ CSF Bălți
0–3
L
4 May
vs Spartanii Selemet
2–0
W
1 May
@ Iskra
2–0
W
24 Apr
vs Sireți
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Zimbru
0–5
L
17 Apr
vs FC Stăuceni
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6
WDWLWD
28 Jun
vs Sireți
3–0
W
17 May
@ Milsami Orhei
0–0
D
13 May
vs Petrocub
2–0
W
6 May
@ Petrocub
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Dacia-Buiucani
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Zimbru
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Politehnica UTM and Sheriff Tiraspol.
What is the prediction for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
On our numbers Politehnica UTM have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sheriff Tiraspol 68%.
How many goals will there be in Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our predicted score is Politehnica UTM 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexul Sportiv Raional.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.