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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Charleroi v OH Leuven: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Stade du Pays de Charleroi
3–1
FT
Charleroi 55%Draw 25%OH Leuven 21% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.06
79%
Betarazi pick

Charleroi or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCharleroi to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Charleroi vs OH Leuven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Charleroi welcome OH Leuven to Stade du Pays de Charleroi for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 9 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Charleroi are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; OH Leuven are 10th (lower half) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Charleroi, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

OH Leuven, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 3–6 defeat to Lille, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (19 May 2026) it ended Charleroi 1–1 OH Leuven.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charleroi 1.8 xG, OH Leuven 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Charleroi 55%, draw 25%, OH Leuven 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Charleroi or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Charleroi or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charleroi 1–1 OH Leuven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charleroi55%fair 1.83 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.55
OH Leuven21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
2.88Expected goals
1.82Charleroi xG
1.06OH Leuven xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Charleroi 1.8 – 1.1 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharleroi to win ✓55%1.831.85
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.83
Draw no betCharleroi (draw no bet) ✓73%1.38–
Asian handicapOH Leuven +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.962.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.09
First team to scoreCharleroi to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultCharleroi ahead at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charleroi / FT Charleroi ✗34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Charleroi – last 6

LWDLDD
1 Augvs Rayo Vallecano2–3L
25 Julvs Seraing United2–1W
25 Jul@ Lens2–2D
17 Jul@ Feyenoord1–3L
11 Julvs Reims2–2D
19 Mayvs OH Leuven1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

OH Leuven – last 6

LDLWWD
1 Augvs Lille3–6L
25 Jul@ Heerenveen4–4D
24 Jul@ Club Brugge II0–3L
18 Julvs K. Lierse S.K.1–0W
15 Julvs Lommel United5–1W
11 Jul@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–1D
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 May 2026Charleroi v OH Leuven1–1
Charleroi vs OH Leuven head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Our pick is Charleroi or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

On our numbers Charleroi have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and OH Leuven 21%.

How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Our predicted score is Charleroi 1–1 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Charleroi vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.