Union St. Gilloise 72%Draw 18%Zulte Waregem 10%Expected goals 2.75 – 1.01
84%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✗72% · @1.33
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Jupiler Pro League brings Union St. Gilloise against Zulte Waregem at Stade Joseph Marien. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Zulte Waregem are 14th (lower half) with 11. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with BodoGlimt, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Zulte Waregem, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Genk, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Zulte Waregem, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Union St. Gilloise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 2.7 xG, Zulte Waregem 1.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 72%, draw 18%, Zulte Waregem 10%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–1 Zulte Waregem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise72%fair 1.38 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @4.80
Zulte Waregem10%fair 10.05 · @9.50
3.76Expected goals
2.75Union St. Gilloise xG
1.01Zulte Waregem xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.7 – 1.0 Zulte Waregem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.20
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
DWDDLW
11 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
5–1
W
4 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
3–3
D
31 Jul
@ Club Brugge KV
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ PSV Eindhoven
3–7
L
11 Jul
vs Aarhus
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zulte Waregem – last 6
WDWDWW
9 Aug
vs Genk
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Beerschot VA
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
W
18 Jul
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
8 Jul
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
4 Jul
@ Zelzate
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zulte Waregem 10%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–1 Zulte Waregem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
