Lommel United vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Jupiler Pro League brings Lommel United against Charleroi at Soevereinstadion. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Lommel United are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Charleroi are 4th (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
Lommel United, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with St. Truiden, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Charleroi, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over OH Leuven, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lommel United 1.2 xG, Charleroi 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lommel United 31%, draw 23%, Charleroi 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lommel United 1–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lommel United31%fair 3.25 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.35
Charleroi47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
2.82Expected goals
1.23Lommel United xG
1.58Charleroi xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lommel United 1.2 – 1.6 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
47%
2.14
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Charleroi (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Lommel United +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Charleroi to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Lommel United – last 6
DLWLDW
8 Aug
@ St. Truiden
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ OH Leuven
1–5
L
11 Jul
@ Cercle Brugge
1–1
D
17 May
vs Dender
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
WLWDLD
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Seraing United
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Lens
2–2
D
17 Jul
@ Feyenoord
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Reims
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and Charleroi.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs Charleroi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lommel United vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charleroi 47%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs Charleroi?
Lommel United vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
