Gent vs OH Leuven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 3 September the Jupiler Pro League brings Gent against OH Leuven at Planet Group Arena. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Gent are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; OH Leuven are 10th (lower half) with 12. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gent, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Club Brugge KV, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
OH Leuven, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Standard Liege, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gent, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for OH Leuven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gent 2.1 xG, OH Leuven 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gent 66%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 13%.
Lower-risk option: Gent or draw (87%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gent 2–0 OH Leuven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gent66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.90
OH Leuven13%fair 7.69 · @5.60
2.92Expected goals
2.09Gent xG
0.83OH Leuven xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gent 2.1 – 0.8 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Gent or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Gent (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Gent -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Gent to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Gent ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Gent – last 6
WWDWDW
30 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Hibernian
3–2
W
20 Aug
vs Hibernian
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–1
W
13 Aug
vs IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
OH Leuven – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Aug
vs Standard Liege
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Charleroi
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Lille
3–6
L
25 Jul
@ Heerenveen
4–4
D
24 Jul
@ Club Brugge II
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and OH Leuven.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gent vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Gent have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and OH Leuven 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Gent 2–0 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gent vs OH Leuven?
Gent vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
