St. Truiden 18%Draw 20%Union St. Gilloise 62%Expected goals 1.08 – 2.15
82%
Betarazi pick
Union St. Gilloise or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Union St. Gilloise to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union St. Gilloise travel to face St. Truiden on Wednesday 2 September in the Jupiler Pro League, with Daio Wasabi Stayen the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, St. Truiden are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St. Truiden, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Antwerp, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Anderlecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 1.1 xG, Union St. Gilloise 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 18%, draw 20%, Union St. Gilloise 62%.
Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Union St. Gilloise to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 1–2 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Truiden18%fair 5.58 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.45
Union St. Gilloise62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
3.23Expected goals
1.08St. Truiden xG
2.15Union St. Gilloise xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.1 – 2.2 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
62%
1.62
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
St. Truiden – last 6
WLWDDL
30 Aug
@ Antwerp
4–1
W
27 Aug
@ Omonia Nicosia
2–4
L
20 Aug
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Lommel United
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WDDWDD
30 Aug
vs Anderlecht
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Zulte Waregem
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
5–1
W
4 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
3–3
D
31 Jul
@ Club Brugge KV
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union St. Gilloise 62%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–2 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
