Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharleroi to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Kortrijk vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kortrijk welcome Charleroi to Guldensporen Stadion for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Saturday 29 August (17:15 WAT). In the table, Kortrijk are 18th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Charleroi are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kortrijk, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Antwerp, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Charleroi, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over KV Mechelen, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Charleroi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Kortrijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kortrijk 0.9 xG, Charleroi 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kortrijk 20%, draw 21%, Charleroi 59%.
Lower-risk option: Charleroi or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Charleroi to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Charleroi or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kortrijk 0–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kortrijk20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
Charleroi59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
2.69Expected goals
0.91Kortrijk xG
1.78Charleroi xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Kortrijk 0.9 – 1.8 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Charleroi or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Charleroi (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Kortrijk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Charleroi to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Charleroi ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Kortrijk – last 6
LLLWDW
15 Aug
vs Antwerp
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Reims
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs KAA Gent II
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Amiens
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Knokke
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
WWWLWD
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Seraing United
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Lens
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kortrijk and Charleroi.
Our pick is Charleroi or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Kortrijk have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Charleroi 59%.
How many goals will there be in Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Kortrijk 0–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
Kortrijk vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Guldensporen Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
