Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lommel United travel to face Union St. Gilloise on Saturday 12 September in the Jupiler Pro League, with Stade Joseph Marien the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Lommel United are 6th (upper half) with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Charleroi, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lommel United, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Brugge KV, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Lommel United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 2.0 xG, Lommel United 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 69%, draw 18%, Lommel United 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise69%fair 1.44 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @6.00
Lommel United13%fair 7.94 · @11.00
2.60Expected goals
1.95Union St. Gilloise xG
0.65Lommel United xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.0 – 0.6 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
69%
1.44
1.22
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.90
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWWDDW
5 Sep
@ Charleroi
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ St. Truiden
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Anderlecht
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Zulte Waregem
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 6
LWWLDL
4 Sep
vs Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
16 Aug
vs Charleroi
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ St. Truiden
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lommel United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
