Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Genk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGenk to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceGenk or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Genk vs Gent: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gent travel to face Genk on Sunday 13 September in the Jupiler Pro League, with Cegeka Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Gent are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Genk, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Anderlecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Gent, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cercle Brugge, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gent, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Genk.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Genk 3–0 Gent.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 2.1 xG, Gent 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 56%, draw 26%, Gent 17%.
Lower-risk option: Genk or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Genk to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Genk or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 2–1 Gent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Gent17%fair 5.72 · @3.60
3.20Expected goals
2.07Genk xG
1.13Gent xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Genk 2.1 – 1.1 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Genk or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Genk vs Gent?
On our numbers Genk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gent 17%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Gent?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Genk 2–1 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Gent?
Genk vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
