Value bet: St. Truiden to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Jupiler Pro League brings St. Truiden against KVC Westerlo at Stayen. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, St. Truiden are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; KVC Westerlo are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
St. Truiden, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SK Beveren, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
KVC Westerlo, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Standard Liege, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 2.8 xG, KVC Westerlo 1.4 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 64%, draw 21%, KVC Westerlo 15%.
Lower-risk option: St. Truiden or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: St. Truiden to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 2–1 KVC Westerlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Truiden64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.90
KVC Westerlo15%fair 6.89 · @4.33
4.25Expected goals
2.83St. Truiden xG
1.42KVC Westerlo xG
70%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
1–16%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.8 – 1.4 KVC Westerlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✗
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.44
Draw no bet
St. Truiden (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
St. Truiden -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
First team to score
St. Truiden to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
St. Truiden – last 6
LWLWLW
12 Sep
@ SK Beveren
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs RAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
2 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Antwerp
4–1
W
27 Aug
@ Omonia Nicosia
2–4
L
20 Aug
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
KVC Westerlo – last 6
WWDLLL
12 Sep
vs Standard Liege
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ KV Mechelen
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Zulte Waregem
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Lommel United
0–4
L
15 Aug
@ Genk
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Union St. Gilloise
1–5
L
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KVC Westerlo 15%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 2–1 KVC Westerlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stayen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
