SK Beveren 60%Draw 24%Lommel United 17%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.69
83%
Betarazi pick
SK Beveren or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: SK Beveren to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSK Beveren to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceSK Beveren or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
SK Beveren vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SK Beveren welcome Lommel United to Freethiel Stadion for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Friday 9 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, SK Beveren are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Lommel United are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
SK Beveren, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kortrijk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lommel United, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Diksmuide, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SK Beveren 1.6 xG, Lommel United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SK Beveren 60%, draw 24%, Lommel United 17%.
Lower-risk option: SK Beveren or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: SK Beveren to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SK Beveren or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SK Beveren 1–0 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SK Beveren60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.60
Lommel United17%fair 6.01 · @3.90
2.29Expected goals
1.60SK Beveren xG
0.69Lommel United xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: SK Beveren 1.6 – 0.7 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Beveren to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
SK Beveren or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.62
Draw no bet
SK Beveren (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Lommel United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
SK Beveren to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Beveren / FT SK Beveren✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
SK Beveren – last 6
LWWLLW
20 Sep
@ Kortrijk
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs St. Truiden
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs OH Leuven
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Genk
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Zulte Waregem
0–4
L
16 Aug
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 6
WDLLWW
26 Sep
@ Diksmuide
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs KV Mechelen
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–5
L
4 Sep
vs Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SK Beveren and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
Our pick is SK Beveren or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
On our numbers SK Beveren have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lommel United 17%.
How many goals will there be in SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is SK Beveren 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
SK Beveren vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Freethiel Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
