OH Leuven 62%Draw 21%Lommel United 18%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.72
82%
Betarazi pick
OH Leuven or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: OH Leuven to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOH Leuven to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceOH Leuven or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lommel United travel to face OH Leuven on Saturday 24 October in the Jupiler Pro League, with Den Dreef the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, OH Leuven are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Lommel United are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
OH Leuven, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Francs Borains, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lommel United, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to St. Truiden, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended OH Leuven 5–1 Lommel United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give OH Leuven 1.7 xG, Lommel United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – OH Leuven 62%, draw 21%, Lommel United 18%.
Lower-risk option: OH Leuven or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: OH Leuven to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was OH Leuven or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: OH Leuven 1–0 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
OH Leuven62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Lommel United18%fair 5.62 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.66OH Leuven xG
0.72Lommel United xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: OH Leuven 1.7 – 0.7 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our pick is OH Leuven or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
On our numbers OH Leuven have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lommel United 18%.
How many goals will there be in OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is OH Leuven 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
OH Leuven vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Den Dreef.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
