Union St. Gilloise 65%Draw 22%Genk 13%Expected goals 2.29 – 0.96
65%
Betarazi pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Jupiler Pro League brings Union St. Gilloise against Genk at Stade Joseph Marien. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Genk are 7th (upper half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Celta Vigo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Genk, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KV Mechelen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Genk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 2.3 xG, Genk 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 65%, draw 22%, Genk 13%.
Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise to win (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Genk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise65%fair 1.53 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.90
Genk13%fair 7.92 · @5.00
3.25Expected goals
2.29Union St. Gilloise xG
0.96Genk xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.3 – 1.0 Genk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Nov
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
31 Oct
@ SK Beveren
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cercle Brugge
5–2
W
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Genk – last 6
LWWWLL
31 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Standard Liege
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Excelsior Virton
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Kortrijk
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Genk.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Genk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
