Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCharleroi to win56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals66% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.71
Charleroi vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 November the Jupiler Pro League brings Charleroi against St. Truiden at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Charleroi are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; St. Truiden are 12th (lower half) with 11. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charleroi, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over KVC Westerlo, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
St. Truiden, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Zulte Waregem, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charleroi 2.3 xG, St. Truiden 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charleroi 56%, draw 21%, St. Truiden 23%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Charleroi to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charleroi 2–1 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charleroi56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
St. Truiden23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
3.63Expected goals
2.32Charleroi xG
1.32St. Truiden xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Charleroi 2.3 – 1.3 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Charleroi
St. Truiden
Attack vs Jupiler Pro League average
+26%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+12%
Our expected goals here
2.60
1.29
Our own ratings from every Jupiler Pro League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Charleroi (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
St. Truiden +1.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.22
First team to score
Charleroi to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Charleroi ahead at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Charleroi – last 6
WWLDWW
7 Nov
@ KVC Westerlo
5–1
W
1 Nov
vs RAAL La Louvière
5–2
W
24 Oct
@ Antwerp
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Albert Quévy-Mons
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Standard Liege
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 6
WDLLWW
8 Nov
vs Zulte Waregem
4–1
W
5 Nov
vs Brann
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs OH Leuven
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
2–3
L
22 Oct
@ FC Midtjylland
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Lommel United
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charleroi and St. Truiden.
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers Charleroi have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Truiden 23%.
How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is Charleroi 2–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
Charleroi vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
