Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.86
Triglav vs Brežice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Triglav welcome Brežice to Stanko Mlakar Stadium for a 2. SNL fixture on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Triglav are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Brežice are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Triglav, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rudar, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Brežice, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bistrica, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Triglav, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Brežice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Triglav 2.1 xG, Brežice 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Triglav 73%, draw 16%, Brežice 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Triglav to win (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Triglav 2–0 Brežice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Triglav73%fair 1.36 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @6.00
Brežice11%fair 9.01 · @9.00
2.76Expected goals
2.13Triglav xG
0.63Brežice xG
43%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Triglav 2.1 – 0.6 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
73%
1.36
1.20
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Triglav (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Triglav -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Triglav to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.86
–
Recent results
Triglav – last 6
LWWLWD
13 Sep
@ Rudar
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Bistrica
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Dravinja
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Dren Vrhnika
1–0
W
22 May
@ Nafta
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 5
LDLLL
12 Sep
@ Bistrica
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Bilje
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triglav and Brežice.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Triglav vs Brežice?
On our numbers Triglav have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Brežice 11%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Brežice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Triglav 2–0 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Brežice?
Triglav vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
