Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Primorje to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPrimorje to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chancePrimorje or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.97
Primorje vs Krka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Krka travel to face Primorje on Friday 28 August in the 2. SNL – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Primorje are 12th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Krka are 11th (lower half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Primorje, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Beltinci, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Krka, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Slovan Ljubljana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Primorje, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Krka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Primorje 1.8 xG, Krka 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Primorje 60%, draw 20%, Krka 19%.
Lower-risk option: Primorje or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Primorje to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Primorje or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Primorje 1–0 Krka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Primorje60%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Krka19%fair 5.21 · @3.50
2.73Expected goals
1.83Primorje xG
0.90Krka xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Primorje 1.8 – 0.9 Krka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Primorje to win✓
60%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Primorje or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Primorje (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Krka +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Primorje to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Primorje ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Primorje / FT Primorje✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.97
–
Recent results
Primorje – last 6
LWLLDL
23 Aug
@ Beltinci
0–4
L
15 Aug
vs Dekani
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Krško
1–2
L
31 May
@ Nafta
0–1
L
27 May
vs Nafta
0–0
D
22 May
vs Celje
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Krka – last 6
LLDLLL
21 Aug
vs Slovan Ljubljana
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Rudar
0–3
L
7 Aug
vs Bistrica
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0–4
L
29 Jul
vs Segesta Sisak
1–4
L
23 May
@ Dekani
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Primorje and Krka.
Our pick is Primorje or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Primorje vs Krka?
On our numbers Primorje have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Krka 19%.
How many goals will there be in Primorje vs Krka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primorje vs Krka?
Our predicted score is Primorje 1–0 Krka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Primorje vs Krka?
Primorje vs Krka (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
