Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultTriglav to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceTriglav or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Triglav vs Bistrica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: Triglav v Bistrica in the 2. SNL, played at Stanko Mlakar Stadium. In the table, Triglav are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Bistrica are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Triglav, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Dravinja, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bistrica, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dren Vrhnika, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Triglav 2.1 xG, Bistrica 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Triglav 65%, draw 22%, Bistrica 13%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Triglav 2–0 Bistrica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Triglav65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Bistrica13%fair 7.74 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.13Triglav xG
0.87Bistrica xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Triglav 2.1 – 0.9 Bistrica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Triglav (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Triglav -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Triglav to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Triglav – last 6
WLWDWW
29 Aug
@ Dravinja
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Dren Vrhnika
1–0
W
22 May
@ Nafta
1–1
D
6 May
vs Dekani
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Jesenice
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bistrica – last 6
WWLDLW
29 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bilje
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ilirija
0–6
L
7 Aug
@ Krka
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Voitsberg
4–5
L
23 May
vs Slovan Ljubljana
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triglav and Bistrica.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Triglav vs Bistrica?
On our numbers Triglav have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bistrica 13%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Bistrica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Bistrica?
Our predicted score is Triglav 2–0 Bistrica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Bistrica?
Triglav vs Bistrica (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
