Value bet: Slovan Ljubljana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSlovan Ljubljana to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slovan Ljubljana welcome Brežice for a 2. SNL fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Slovan Ljubljana are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Brežice are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Slovan Ljubljana, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Triglav, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Brežice, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Rudar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Slovan Ljubljana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Brežice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slovan Ljubljana 1.9 xG, Brežice 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slovan Ljubljana 56%, draw 18%, Brežice 26%.
Price worth noting: Slovan Ljubljana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slovan Ljubljana 2–1 Brežice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slovan Ljubljana56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @3.50
Brežice26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
3.05Expected goals
1.87Slovan Ljubljana xG
1.18Brežice xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Slovan Ljubljana 1.9 – 1.2 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slovan Ljubljana to win✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Slovan Ljubljana (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Brežice +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Slovan Ljubljana to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Slovan Ljubljana ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slovan Ljubljana / FT Slovan Ljubljana✓
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Slovan Ljubljana – last 6
LDLWWW
20 Sep
@ Triglav
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Dren Vrhnika
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bilje
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Ilirija
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Krka
3–2
W
15 Aug
vs Beltinci
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 6
LLLDLL
19 Sep
vs Rudar
3–4
L
16 Sep
@ Triglav
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bistrica
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slovan Ljubljana and Brežice.
What is the prediction for Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
On our numbers Slovan Ljubljana have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brežice 26%.
How many goals will there be in Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Slovan Ljubljana 2–1 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
