Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rudar to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRudar to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceRudar or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Rudar vs Jesenice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the 2. SNL brings Rudar against Jesenice at Mestni stadion ob jezeru. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Rudar are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Jesenice are 8th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rudar, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Primorje, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Jesenice, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bistrica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rudar 2.2 xG, Jesenice 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rudar 65%, draw 21%, Jesenice 14%.
Lower-risk option: Rudar or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Rudar to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rudar or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rudar 2–0 Jesenice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rudar65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.70
Jesenice14%fair 7.06 · @3.70
3.14Expected goals
2.19Rudar xG
0.95Jesenice xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rudar 2.2 – 0.9 Jesenice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rudar to win✗
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Rudar or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Rudar (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Rudar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Rudar to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Rudar ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rudar / FT Rudar✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Rudar – last 6
LWLLWW
27 Oct
@ Primorje
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Slovan Ljubljana
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bistrica
1–3
L
28 Sep
vs Dravinja
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Brežice
4–3
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jesenice – last 6
LLDLWW
28 Oct
vs Bistrica
1–3
L
16 Oct
@ Dravinja
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Brežice
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Triglav
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Dren Vrhnika
5–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bilje
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rudar and Jesenice.
Our pick is Rudar or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rudar vs Jesenice?
On our numbers Rudar have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jesenice 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rudar vs Jesenice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rudar vs Jesenice?
Our predicted score is Rudar 2–0 Jesenice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rudar vs Jesenice?
Rudar vs Jesenice (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion ob jezeru.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
