Value bet: Francs Borains to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLiège to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Liège vs Francs Borains: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liège welcome Francs Borains to Stade de Rocourt for a Challenger Pro League fixture on Monday 17 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Liège are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; Francs Borains are 4th (among the top four) with 18. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Liège, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Patro Eisden, away. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Francs Borains, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Feignies-Aulnoye, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liège 1.5 xG, Francs Borains 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liège 45%, draw 21%, Francs Borains 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Francs Borains to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liège 1–1 Francs Borains. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liège45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.45
Francs Borains34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
2.85Expected goals
1.55Liège xG
1.30Francs Borains xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Liège 1.5 – 1.3 Francs Borains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liège to win✗
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Liège (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Francs Borains +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Liège to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liège / FT Liège✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Liège – last 6
DWWDLW
8 Aug
@ Patro Eisden
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Waremme
7–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aywaille
7–0
W
24 Jul
@ Atert Bissen
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs St. Truiden
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Malmundaria
7–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Francs Borains – last 6
WWLLWW
24 Jul
@ Feignies-Aulnoye
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Tubize
3–0
W
15 Jul
@ Reims
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ Standard Liege
0–1
L
10 Jul
vs Crossing Schaerbeek
5–2
W
4 Jul
@ Sporting Club Jemappes
8–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liège and Francs Borains.
What is the prediction for Liège vs Francs Borains?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liège vs Francs Borains?
On our numbers Liège have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Francs Borains 34%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs Francs Borains?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs Francs Borains?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 Francs Borains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Liège vs Francs Borains?
Liège vs Francs Borains (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
