Liège welcome Dender to Stade de Rocourt for a Challenger Pro League fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Liège are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; Dender are 2nd (among the top four) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Liège, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over KRC Genk II, away. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dender, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Beerschot VA, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Liège, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Dender.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liège 1.3 xG, Dender 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liège 37%, draw 22%, Dender 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liège 1–1 Dender. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liège37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Dender40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
2.75Expected goals
1.34Liège xG
1.41Dender xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Liège 1.3 – 1.4 Dender expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dender to win✓
40%
2.48
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Draw no bet
Dender (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Liège +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Dender to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dender / FT Dender✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Liège – last 6
WLDWWD
23 Aug
@ KRC Genk II
3–2
W
17 Aug
vs Francs Borains
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Patro Eisden
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Waremme
7–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aywaille
7–0
W
24 Jul
@ Atert Bissen
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dender – last 6
WLLLLL
22 Aug
vs Beerschot VA
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Sporting Hasselt
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Oudenaarde
0–5
L
1 Aug
@ Lokeren-Temse
0–3
L
17 May
@ Lommel United
2–3
L
24 Apr
@ Cercle Brugge
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liège and Dender.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liège vs Dender?
On our numbers Liège have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dender 40%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs Dender?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs Dender?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 Dender, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Liège vs Dender?
Liège vs Dender (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
