Value bet: Excelsior Virton to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.84
Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Excelsior Virton welcome Francs Borains to Stade Yvan Georges for a Challenger Pro League fixture on Sunday 30 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Excelsior Virton are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Francs Borains are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Excelsior Virton, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over RSC Anderlecht II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Francs Borains, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting Hasselt, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Excelsior Virton, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Francs Borains.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Virton 1.1 xG, Francs Borains 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Virton 42%, draw 23%, Francs Borains 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Excelsior Virton to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Virton 1–1 Francs Borains. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior Virton42%fair 2.37 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Francs Borains35%fair 2.90 · @2.45
2.00Expected goals
1.07Excelsior Virton xG
0.93Francs Borains xG
57%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.1 – 0.9 Francs Borains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✗
42%
2.37
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Excelsior Virton (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Francs Borains +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Excelsior Virton to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.84
–
Recent results
Excelsior Virton – last 6
WWDDDW
21 Aug
@ RSC Anderlecht II
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
3–0
W
5 Aug
vs Strasbourg II
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Rochefort
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs US Hostert
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Francs Borains – last 6
LWWWLL
23 Aug
vs Sporting Hasselt
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ Liège
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Feignies-Aulnoye
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Tubize
3–0
W
15 Jul
@ Reims
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ Standard Liege
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and Francs Borains.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Francs Borains 35%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 1–1 Francs Borains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
