Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Excelsior Virton welcome KRC Genk II to Stade Yvan Georges for a Challenger Pro League fixture on Saturday 12 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Excelsior Virton are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; KRC Genk II are 10th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Excelsior Virton, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Francs Borains, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
KRC Genk II, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sporting Hasselt, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Virton 1.9 xG, KRC Genk II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Virton 47%, draw 20%, KRC Genk II 33%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Virton 1–1 KRC Genk II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior Virton47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
KRC Genk II33%fair 3.03 · @2.80
3.43Expected goals
1.89Excelsior Virton xG
1.54KRC Genk II xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.9 – 1.5 KRC Genk II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✓
47%
2.13
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Draw no bet
Excelsior Virton (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
KRC Genk II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Excelsior Virton to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior Virton / FT Excelsior Virton✓
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Excelsior Virton – last 6
LWWDDD
30 Aug
vs Francs Borains
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ RSC Anderlecht II
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
3–0
W
5 Aug
vs Strasbourg II
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Rochefort
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KRC Genk II – last 6
WWWLDL
5 Sep
vs Sporting Hasselt
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Lokeren-Temse
4–2
W
25 Aug
vs MVV
6–0
W
23 Aug
vs Liège
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ AS Eupen
1–4
L
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and KRC Genk II.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KRC Genk II 33%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 1–1 KRC Genk II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II?
Excelsior Virton vs KRC Genk II (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.