Value bet: Excelsior Virton to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.36
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Excelsior Virton v Sporting Hasselt in the Challenger Pro League, played at Stade Yvan Georges. In the table, Excelsior Virton are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Sporting Hasselt are 6th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Excelsior Virton, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Oostkamp, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Hasselt, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mandel United, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Excelsior Virton, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Sporting Hasselt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Virton 1.0 xG, Sporting Hasselt 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Virton 44%, draw 22%, Sporting Hasselt 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Excelsior Virton to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Virton 1–1 Sporting Hasselt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior Virton44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Sporting Hasselt35%fair 2.88 · @2.45
1.91Expected goals
1.04Excelsior Virton xG
0.87Sporting Hasselt xG
56%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.0 – 0.9 Sporting Hasselt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✗
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.55
Draw no bet
Excelsior Virton (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Hasselt +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Excelsior Virton to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.36
–
Recent results
Excelsior Virton – last 6
WDWLWW
26 Sep
@ Oostkamp
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Lokeren-Temse
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs KRC Genk II
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Francs Borains
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ RSC Anderlecht II
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Hasselt – last 6
WLWLLW
26 Sep
@ Mandel United
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Beerschot VA
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Seraing United
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ KRC Genk II
0–3
L
28 Aug
vs KAA Gent II
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Francs Borains
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and Sporting Hasselt.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Hasselt 35%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 1–1 Sporting Hasselt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
