Value bet: Rudar to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRudar to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 31.03
Mogren vs Rudar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Mogren v Rudar in the Second League. In the table, Mogren are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Rudar are 8th (in the drop zone) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mogren, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Grbalj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Rudar, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Zeta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Rudar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Mogren.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Rudar 0–3 Mogren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mogren 1.4 xG, Rudar 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mogren 35%, draw 23%, Rudar 42%.
Price worth noting: Rudar to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (77%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mogren 1–2 Rudar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mogren35%fair 2.84 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Rudar42%fair 2.41 · @2.62
2.86Expected goals
1.36Mogren xG
1.50Rudar xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Mogren 1.4 – 1.5 Rudar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Mogren have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rudar 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mogren vs Rudar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mogren vs Rudar?
Our predicted score is Mogren 1–2 Rudar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mogren vs Rudar?
Mogren vs Rudar (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
