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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independiente Res. v Racing Club Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Independiente Res. 51%Draw 24%Racing Club Res. 25% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.23
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds
1

Value bet: Independiente Res. to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✗51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Racing Club Res. travel to face Independiente Res. on Saturday 27 June in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente Res. are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Racing Club Res. are 25th (lower half) with 17. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Independiente Res., last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Belgrano Córdoba Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Racing Club Res., last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Talleres Córdoba Res., away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Independiente Res. 1–2 Racing Club Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Res. 2.2 xG, Racing Club Res. 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Res. 51%, draw 24%, Racing Club Res. 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Independiente Res. to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Res. 2–1 Racing Club Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente Res.51%fair 1.96 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Racing Club Res.25%fair 3.97 · @3.00
3.38Expected goals
2.15Independiente Res. xG
1.23Racing Club Res. xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 2.2 – 1.2 Racing Club Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Independiente Res.Racing Club Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average+57%+29%
Goals conceded vs average-22%+24%
Our expected goals here2.661.13

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Res. to win ✗51%1.962.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.91 ▲
Draw no betIndependiente Res. (draw no bet) ✗67%1.50–
Asian handicapRacing Club Res. +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
First team to scoreIndependiente Res. to score first ✗62%1.63–
Half-time resultIndependiente Res. ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res. ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Independiente Res. – last 6

WWWDWL
18 Junvs Belgrano Córdoba Res.3–2W
9 Jun@ Lanús Res.4–0W
2 Junvs Newell's Old Boys Res.1–0W
26 May@ Defensa y Justicia Res.1–1D
19 Mayvs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 25–0W
14 May@ Huracán Res.0–1L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Racing Club Res. – last 6

WLLWWD
17 Jun@ Talleres Córdoba Res.3–2W
8 Junvs Banfield Res.1–2L
3 Jun@ Rosario Central Res.0–3L
26 Mayvs Tigre Res.2–1W
19 May@ San Lorenzo Res.2–1W
12 Mayvs Vélez Sársfield Res.1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Independiente Res. v Racing Club Res.1–2
Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Club Res. 25%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 2–1 Racing Club Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?

Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.