Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✓70% · @1.50
Double chanceSantos or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Santos vs Deportivo Binacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 July the Segunda División brings Santos against Deportivo Binacional at Estadio Municipal de Nasca. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Santos are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Binacional are 9th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Santos, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Deportivo Binacional, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Deportivo Garcilaso, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Binacional 1–1 Santos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 2.3 xG, Deportivo Binacional 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 70%, draw 19%, Deportivo Binacional 10%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santos to win (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 2–0 Deportivo Binacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos70%fair 1.42 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.60
Deportivo Binacional10%fair 9.57 · @6.00
3.00Expected goals
2.30Santos xG
0.70Deportivo Binacional xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santos 2.3 – 0.7 Deportivo Binacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
Our pick is Santos to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
On our numbers Santos have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo Binacional 10%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
Our predicted score is Santos 2–0 Deportivo Binacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Deportivo Binacional?
Santos vs Deportivo Binacional (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Nasca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carlos A. Mannucci1
Deportivo Llacuabamba0