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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deren v Khangarid: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Mongolia

Deren

LWWWL
2–1
FT
Deren 51%Draw 21%Khangarid 28% Expected goals 2.29 – 1.45
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeren to win ✓51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07

Deren vs Khangarid: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Khangarid travel to face Deren on Tuesday 30 June in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Deren are 3rd on 45 points after 23 matches; Khangarid are 4th with 34.

Current form

Deren, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ulaanbaatar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Khangarid, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Central Stallions, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Khangarid 2–3 Deren. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deren 1 win, Khangarid 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deren 2.3 xG, Khangarid 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deren 51%, draw 21%, Khangarid 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deren 2–1 Khangarid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deren51%fair 1.97 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
Khangarid28%fair 3.53 · @2.80
3.74Expected goals
2.29Deren xG
1.45Khangarid xG
58%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Deren 2.3 – 1.5 Khangarid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeren to win ✓51%1.972.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betDeren (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapKhangarid +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.421.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
First team to scoreDeren to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultDeren ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deren / FT Deren ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.07–

Recent results

Deren – last 6

LWWWLL
27 Junvs Ulaanbaatar0–2L
24 Junvs Central Stallions2–0W
21 Jun@ Khangarid3–2W
18 Jun@ Khovd6–0W
14 Junvs Central Stallions1–2L
23 May@ Ulaanbaatar0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Khangarid – last 6

DLLWWD
27 Jun@ Central Stallions2–2D
24 Jun@ Ulaanbaatar1–3L
21 Junvs Deren2–3L
18 Jun@ Khovd Western2–1W
24 May@ Khovd6–0W
21 Mayvs Central Stallions1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Khangarid v Deren2–3
9 May 2026Khangarid v Deren2–1
Deren vs Khangarid head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar161321+5641
2Central Stallions161231+4039
3Khangarid161033+4033
4Deren16934+4130
5Hunters16736+1724
6Khovd Western16538-718
7Khovd164012-4512
8Khoromkhon162014-596
9Ulaangom City161114-834
10Falcons000000

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deren vs Khangarid?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Deren vs Khangarid?

On our numbers Deren have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Khangarid 28%.

How many goals will there be in Deren vs Khangarid?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deren vs Khangarid?

Our predicted score is Deren 2–1 Khangarid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Deren vs Khangarid?

Deren vs Khangarid (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.