Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.14 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.14Odds
1
Value bet: Khovd to win @ 2.95 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKhovd to win ✓42% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗5% · fair 19.37
Khovd vs Khoromkhon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Khoromkhon travel to face Khovd on Wednesday 1 July in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Khovd are 7th on 16 points after 21 matches; Khoromkhon are 9th with 6.
Current form
Khovd, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Ulaangom City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Khoromkhon, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Ulaangom City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Khoromkhon 6–1 Khovd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khovd 3.5 xG, Khoromkhon 2.8 xG – a total near 6.3. That is an open game on paper: 95% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khovd 42%, draw 16%, Khoromkhon 42%.
Price worth noting: Khovd to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (84%, odds 1.14). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khovd 3–2 Khoromkhon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khovd42%fair 2.37 · @2.95
Draw16%fair 6.37 · @4.20
Khoromkhon42%fair 2.38 · @1.85
6.29Expected goals
3.51Khovd xG
2.78Khoromkhon xG
69%Both score
95%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–25%
3–35%
4–25%
2–24%
4–34%
2–34%
From our goals model: Khovd 3.5 – 2.8 Khoromkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.14.
Who will win Khovd vs Khoromkhon?
On our numbers Khovd have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Khoromkhon 42%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd vs Khoromkhon?
We expect about 6.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd vs Khoromkhon?
Our predicted score is Khovd 3–2 Khoromkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.3 goals in total.
When is Khovd vs Khoromkhon?
Khovd vs Khoromkhon (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
