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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Khangarid v Ulaanbaatar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Mongolia
3–4
FT
Khangarid 28%Draw 20%Ulaanbaatar 52% Expected goals 1.55 – 2.41
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✓52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Friday 3 July: Khangarid v Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League. In the table, Khangarid are 4th on 34 points after 22 matches; Ulaanbaatar are 1st with 54. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Khangarid, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deren, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ulaanbaatar, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Central Stallions, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ulaanbaatar, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Khangarid.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jun 2026) it ended Ulaanbaatar 3–1 Khangarid. The last 2 head-to-heads: Khangarid 0 wins, Ulaanbaatar 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Khangarid 1.5 xG, Ulaanbaatar 2.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Khangarid 28%, draw 20%, Ulaanbaatar 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khangarid 1–3 Ulaanbaatar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Khangarid28%fair 3.58 · @2.65
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.90
Ulaanbaatar52%fair 1.94 · @2.05
3.96Expected goals
1.55Khangarid xG
2.41Ulaanbaatar xG
60%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: Khangarid 1.5 – 2.4 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlaanbaatar to win ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.67–
Draw no betUlaanbaatar (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapKhangarid +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.861.75
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
First team to scoreUlaanbaatar to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultUlaanbaatar ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.66–

Recent results

Khangarid – last 6

LDLLWW
30 Jun@ Deren1–2L
27 Jun@ Central Stallions2–2D
24 Jun@ Ulaanbaatar1–3L
21 Junvs Deren2–3L
18 Jun@ Khovd Western2–1W
24 May@ Khovd6–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Ulaanbaatar – last 6

LWWWLW
30 Junvs Central Stallions2–3L
27 Jun@ Deren2–0W
24 Junvs Khangarid3–1W
21 Jun@ Central Stallions3–0W
17 Jun@ Central Stallions0–1L
14 Junvs Khoromkhon7–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jun 2026Ulaanbaatar v Khangarid3–1
17 May 2026Ulaanbaatar v Khangarid3–1
Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar161321+5641
2Central Stallions161231+4039
3Khangarid161033+4033
4Deren16934+4130
5Hunters16736+1724
6Khovd Western16538-718
7Khovd164012-4512
8Khoromkhon162014-596
9Ulaangom City161114-834
10Falcons000000

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?

On our numbers Khangarid have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ulaanbaatar 52%.

How many goals will there be in Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our predicted score is Khangarid 1–3 Ulaanbaatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?

Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.