Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Ulaanbaatar vs Deren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ulaanbaatar welcome Deren for a Premier League fixture on Monday 6 July (05:00 WAT). In the table, Ulaanbaatar are 1st on 54 points after 23 matches; Deren are 3rd with 45.
Current form
Ulaanbaatar, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Khangarid, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Deren, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Central Stallions, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deren, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Ulaanbaatar.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Deren 0–2 Ulaanbaatar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ulaanbaatar 2 wins, Deren 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulaanbaatar 2.2 xG, Deren 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulaanbaatar 50%, draw 21%, Deren 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (52%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulaanbaatar 2–2 Deren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulaanbaatar50%fair 2.01 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.90
Deren29%fair 3.43 · @2.65
3.76Expected goals
2.23Ulaanbaatar xG
1.53Deren xG
56%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Ulaanbaatar 2.2 – 1.5 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
On our numbers Ulaanbaatar have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deren 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Ulaanbaatar 2–2 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
Ulaanbaatar vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
