Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guastatoya travel to face Antigua GFC on Sunday 9 August in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Pensativo the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Antigua GFC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Estelí, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Guastatoya, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Malacateco, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Guastatoya 3–0 Antigua GFC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Antigua GFC 1 win, Guastatoya 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 1.9 xG, Guastatoya 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 60%, draw 25%, Guastatoya 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antigua GFC60%fair 1.66 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Guastatoya15%fair 6.65 · @5.25
2.72Expected goals
1.88Antigua GFC xG
0.84Guastatoya xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 1.9 – 0.8 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Antigua GFC
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+26%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.91
0.83
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guastatoya 15%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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