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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal v Cobán Imperial: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
2–0
FT
Municipal 66%Draw 22%Cobán Imperial 12% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.60
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Municipal vs Cobán Imperial: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Monday 10 August: Municipal v Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Cobán Imperial are 6th (upper half) with 32.

Current form

Municipal, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Verdes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Cobán Imperial, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malacateco, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Cobán Imperial.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Municipal 0–0 Cobán Imperial. The last 2 head-to-heads: Municipal 0 wins, Cobán Imperial 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 0.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.8 xG, Cobán Imperial 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 66%, draw 22%, Cobán Imperial 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Cobán Imperial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal66%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
Cobán Imperial12%fair 8.23 · @7.80
2.41Expected goals
1.81Municipal xG
0.60Cobán Imperial xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%

From our goals model: Municipal 1.8 – 0.6 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MunicipalCobán Imperial
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+6%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-38%+3%
Our expected goals here1.830.58

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal to win ✓66%1.531.36
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓88%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.972.30 ▲
Draw no betMunicipal (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapMunicipal -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMunicipal to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultMunicipal ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal / FT Municipal ✓42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Municipal – last 6

WWDWWW
7 Aug@ Verdes1–0W
3 Aug@ Marquense2–1W
31 Julvs CS Cartagines1–1D
25 Julvs Mixco2–0W
24 May@ Xelajú2–1W
17 Mayvs Xelajú4–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cobán Imperial – last 6

DWLDDL
26 Jul@ Malacateco1–1D
29 Aprvs Mixco2–0W
17 Apr@ Malacateco0–2L
6 Apr@ Municipal0–0D
1 Aprvs Aurora0–0D
19 Mar@ Marquense1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Municipal v Cobán Imperial0–0
18 Feb 2026Cobán Imperial v Municipal0–0
Municipal vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal vs Cobán Imperial?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Municipal vs Cobán Imperial?

On our numbers Municipal have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cobán Imperial 12%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Cobán Imperial?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Cobán Imperial?

Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Municipal vs Cobán Imperial?

Municipal vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.