Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Municipal to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Guastatoya vs Municipal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Guastatoya v Municipal in the Liga Nacional. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Municipal are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Guastatoya, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antigua GFC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Municipal, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobán Imperial, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Guastatoya.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Municipal 2–0 Guastatoya. The last 3 head-to-heads: Guastatoya 0 wins, Municipal 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.0 xG, Municipal 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 31%, draw 24%, Municipal 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Municipal to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya31%fair 3.21 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Municipal45%fair 2.24 · @2.55
2.30Expected goals
1.01Guastatoya xG
1.29Municipal xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.0 – 1.3 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Municipal?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Municipal 45%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Guastatoya vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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