Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Aurora to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAurora to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Aurora vs Suchitepéquez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aurora welcome Suchitepéquez to Estadio Guillermo Slowing for a Liga Nacional fixture on Saturday 22 August (22:00 WAT).
Current form
Aurora, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo San Pedro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Suchitepéquez, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Marquense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.7 xG, Suchitepéquez 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 60%, draw 24%, Suchitepéquez 16%.
Lower-risk option: Aurora or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Aurora to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aurora or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–0 Suchitepéquez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aurora60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Suchitepéquez16%fair 6.14 · @3.60
2.46Expected goals
1.70Aurora xG
0.76Suchitepéquez xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.7 – 0.8 Suchitepéquez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aurora to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aurora or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Aurora (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Aurora -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Aurora to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aurora / FT Aurora✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Aurora – last 6
LWLLLL
16 Aug
@ Deportivo San Pedro
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
3–1
W
4 Aug
@ Xelajú
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Guastatoya
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Marquense
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Suchitepéquez – last 4
LLLD
17 Aug
vs Marquense
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Deportivo San Pedro
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Mixco
0–2
L
27 Jul
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Suchitepéquez.
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
Our pick is Aurora or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
On our numbers Aurora have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Suchitepéquez 16%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–0 Suchitepéquez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
Aurora vs Suchitepéquez (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
