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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marquense v Cobán Imperial: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
2–1
FT
Marquense 57%Draw 21%Cobán Imperial 21% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.90
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMarquense to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.38

Marquense vs Cobán Imperial: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cobán Imperial travel to face Marquense on Monday 24 August in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Cobán Imperial are 6th (upper half) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marquense, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Suchitepéquez, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Cobán Imperial, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antigua GFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cobán Imperial, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Marquense.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Marquense 3–1 Cobán Imperial.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.7 xG, Cobán Imperial 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 57%, draw 21%, Cobán Imperial 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Marquense or draw (79%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–0 Cobán Imperial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marquense57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.25
Cobán Imperial21%fair 4.70 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.69Marquense xG
0.90Cobán Imperial xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Marquense 1.7 – 0.9 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarquense to win ✓57%1.741.80
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓79%1.271.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.93 ▲
Draw no betMarquense (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapCobán Imperial +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreMarquense to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marquense / FT Marquense ✓34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.38–

Recent results

Marquense – last 6

WLLLLD
17 Aug@ Suchitepéquez2–1W
8 Aug@ Mixco0–1L
3 Augvs Municipal1–2L
25 Jul@ Antigua GFC1–3L
4 May@ Xelajú0–2L
30 Aprvs Xelajú1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cobán Imperial – last 6

LWLDWL
19 Augvs Antigua GFC0–2L
15 Augvs Mixco3–2W
10 Aug@ Municipal0–2L
26 Jul@ Malacateco1–1D
29 Aprvs Mixco2–0W
17 Apr@ Malacateco0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Marquense v Cobán Imperial3–1
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

On our numbers Marquense have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cobán Imperial 21%.

How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?

Marquense vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.