Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guastatoya v Marquense: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala
1–2
FT
Guastatoya 66%Draw 23%Marquense 11% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.70
66%
Betarazi pick

Guastatoya to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuastatoya to win ✗66% · @1.53
Double chanceGuastatoya or draw ✗89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25

Guastatoya vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Marquense travel to face Guastatoya on Saturday 29 August in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guastatoya, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Mixco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Marquense, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cobán Imperial, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Guastatoya, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Marquense.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Marquense 2–2 Guastatoya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.9 xG, Marquense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 66%, draw 23%, Marquense 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guastatoya to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guastatoya66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Marquense11%fair 8.71 · @5.75
2.65Expected goals
1.94Guastatoya xG
0.70Marquense xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.9 – 0.7 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuastatoya to win ✗66%1.521.53
Double chanceGuastatoya or draw ✗89%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betGuastatoya (draw no bet) ✗85%1.17–
Asian handicapGuastatoya -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreGuastatoya to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultGuastatoya ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.25–

Recent results

Guastatoya – last 6

LWLWWL
23 Aug@ Mixco2–4L
16 Augvs Municipal1–0W
9 Aug@ Antigua GFC0–2L
2 Augvs Malacateco4–0W
25 Jul@ Aurora1–0W
3 May@ Municipal0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Marquense – last 6

WWLLLL
24 Augvs Cobán Imperial2–1W
17 Aug@ Suchitepéquez2–1W
8 Aug@ Mixco0–1L
3 Augvs Municipal1–2L
25 Jul@ Antigua GFC1–3L
4 May@ Xelajú0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Marquense v Guastatoya2–2
Guastatoya vs Marquense head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Our pick is Guastatoya to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Guastatoya vs Marquense?

On our numbers Guastatoya have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marquense 11%.

How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Marquense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Guastatoya vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.