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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Suchitepéquez v Guastatoya: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala
1–1
FT
Suchitepéquez 41%Draw 26%Guastatoya 32% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.07
60%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.68Odds
2

Value bet: Guastatoya to win @ 3.38 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSuchitepéquez to win ✗41% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Suchitepéquez welcome Guastatoya for a Liga Nacional fixture on Thursday 10 September (03:10 WAT).

Current form

Suchitepéquez, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Malacateco, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Guastatoya, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cobán Imperial, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Guastatoya, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Suchitepéquez.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Suchitepéquez 1.3 xG, Guastatoya 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Suchitepéquez 41%, draw 26%, Guastatoya 32%.
  • Price worth noting: Guastatoya to win @3.38 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (60%, odds 1.68). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suchitepéquez 1–1 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Suchitepéquez41%fair 2.42 · @2.11
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.50
Guastatoya32%fair 3.10 · @3.38
2.32Expected goals
1.25Suchitepéquez xG
1.07Guastatoya xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.3 – 1.1 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuchitepéquez to win ✗41%2.422.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.36–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betSuchitepéquez (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapGuastatoya +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.661.68
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.551.27
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreSuchitepéquez to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suchitepéquez / FT Suchitepéquez ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.11–

Recent results

Suchitepéquez – last 6

LWLLLL
6 Sep@ Malacateco0–2L
29 Augvs Cobán Imperial3–2W
22 Aug@ Aurora2–3L
17 Augvs Marquense1–2L
9 Aug@ Deportivo San Pedro0–3L
1 Aug@ Mixco0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guastatoya – last 6

WLLWLW
6 Sep@ Cobán Imperial1–0W
29 Augvs Marquense1–2L
23 Aug@ Mixco2–4L
16 Augvs Municipal1–0W
9 Aug@ Antigua GFC0–2L
2 Augvs Malacateco4–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Suchitepéquez and Guastatoya.

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.

Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?

On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guastatoya 32%.

How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?

Our predicted score is Suchitepéquez 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?

Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.