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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mixco v Aurora: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala

Mixco

LDLWW
3–2
FT

Aurora

LLWWL
Mixco 64%Draw 24%Aurora 12% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.90
64%
Betarazi pick

Mixco to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMixco to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Mixco vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Liga Nacional brings Mixco against Aurora. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Aurora are 11th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mixco, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo San Pedro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Aurora, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Municipal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Aurora 1–1 Mixco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 2.2 xG, Aurora 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 64%, draw 24%, Aurora 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mixco to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 2–0 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mixco64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.80
Aurora12%fair 8.22 · @6.00
3.06Expected goals
2.16Mixco xG
0.90Aurora xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Mixco 2.2 – 0.9 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMixco to win ✓64%1.571.44
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betMixco (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapMixco -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
First team to scoreMixco to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultMixco ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mixco / FT Mixco ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Mixco – last 6

LDLWWW
9 Sep@ Deportivo San Pedro0–2L
5 Sepvs Comunicaciones1–1D
31 Aug@ Xelajú1–4L
28 Augvs Alianza FC2–0W
23 Augvs Guastatoya4–2W
20 Augvs UMECIT4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aurora – last 6

LLWWLW
10 Sepvs Municipal1–2L
5 Sep@ Antigua GFC1–2L
31 Augvs Malacateco1–0W
22 Augvs Suchitepéquez3–2W
16 Aug@ Deportivo San Pedro1–2L
8 Augvs Comunicaciones3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Aurora v Mixco1–1
Mixco vs Aurora head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mixco vs Aurora?

Our pick is Mixco to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Mixco vs Aurora?

On our numbers Mixco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aurora 12%.

How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Aurora?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Aurora?

Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Mixco vs Aurora?

Mixco vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.