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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal v Malacateco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
2–2
FT
Municipal 73%Draw 20%Malacateco 7% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.42
73%
Betarazi pick

Municipal to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal to win ✗73% · @1.25
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33

Municipal vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Municipal welcome Malacateco to Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera for a Liga Nacional fixture on Monday 14 September (02:00 WAT). In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Municipal, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aurora, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Malacateco, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antigua GFC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Malacateco.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Municipal 1–0 Malacateco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.9 xG, Malacateco 0.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 73%, draw 20%, Malacateco 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Municipal to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.75
Malacateco7%fair 13.74 · @12.00
2.31Expected goals
1.89Municipal xG
0.42Malacateco xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–018%
3–011%
0–010%
1–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Municipal 1.9 – 0.4 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal to win ✗73%1.371.25
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓93%1.081.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.781.55
Draw no betMunicipal (draw no bet)91%1.10–
Asian handicapMunicipal -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreMunicipal to score first ✗74%1.36–
Half-time resultMunicipal ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal / FT Municipal ✗47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.33–

Recent results

Municipal – last 6

WDWDWD
10 Sep@ Aurora2–1W
7 Sepvs Deportivo San Pedro0–0D
30 Aug@ Comunicaciones1–0W
26 Augvs CD Motagua1–1D
23 Augvs Xelajú2–0W
20 Aug@ FAS1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Malacateco – last 6

LWLWLD
11 Sepvs Antigua GFC0–2L
6 Sepvs Suchitepéquez2–0W
31 Aug@ Aurora0–1L
24 Augvs Deportivo San Pedro2–0W
16 Aug@ Comunicaciones2–4L
8 Augvs Xelajú2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Municipal v Malacateco1–0
Municipal vs Malacateco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal vs Malacateco?

Our pick is Municipal to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Municipal vs Malacateco?

On our numbers Municipal have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malacateco 7%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Malacateco?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Malacateco?

Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Municipal vs Malacateco?

Municipal vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.