Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Marquense to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAurora to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Aurora vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Aurora v Marquense in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Guillermo Slowing. In the table, Aurora are 11th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Aurora, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mixco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Marquense, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo San Pedro, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Marquense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Aurora.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Aurora 0–1 Marquense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aurora 0 wins, Marquense 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.5 xG, Marquense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 42%, draw 24%, Marquense 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Marquense to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aurora42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Marquense34%fair 2.94 · @3.50
2.89Expected goals
1.53Aurora xG
1.36Marquense xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.5 – 1.4 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aurora vs Marquense?
On our numbers Aurora have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marquense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Marquense?
Aurora vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
