Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuastatoya to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceGuastatoya or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.24
Guastatoya vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the Liga Nacional brings Guastatoya against Aurora. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Aurora are 11th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Guastatoya, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo San Pedro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Aurora, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cobán Imperial, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guastatoya, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Aurora.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Aurora 0–1 Guastatoya. The last 2 head-to-heads: Guastatoya 2 wins, Aurora 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 2.1 xG, Aurora 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 65%, draw 22%, Aurora 12%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guastatoya to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 2–0 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.00
Aurora12%fair 8.06 · @7.00
2.91Expected goals
2.09Guastatoya xG
0.82Aurora xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 2.1 – 0.8 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Guastatoya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Aurora?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aurora 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 2–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Aurora?
Guastatoya vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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