Xelajú 63%Draw 18%Deportivo San Pedro 18%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.85
63%
Betarazi pick
Xelajú to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultXelajú to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo San Pedro travel to face Xelajú on Sunday 4 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Mario Camposeco the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Xelajú, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Comunicaciones, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo San Pedro, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guastatoya, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Deportivo San Pedro 1–0 Xelajú.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 1.9 xG, Deportivo San Pedro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 63%, draw 18%, Deportivo San Pedro 18%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Xelajú to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 1–0 Deportivo San Pedro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xelajú63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.00
Deportivo San Pedro18%fair 5.46 · @6.00
2.73Expected goals
1.88Xelajú xG
0.85Deportivo San Pedro xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.9 – 0.9 Deportivo San Pedro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
Our pick is Xelajú to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Deportivo San Pedro 18%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Deportivo San Pedro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro?
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
