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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aurora v Xelajú: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Guillermo Slowing

Aurora

LLWLL
2–1
FT

Xelajú

WLWDL
Aurora 34%Draw 23%Xelajú 43% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.69
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultXelajú to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Aurora vs Xelajú: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Xelajú travel to face Aurora on Saturday 10 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Guillermo Slowing the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Aurora are 11th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 22 matches; Xelajú are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aurora, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guastatoya, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Xelajú, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo San Pedro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Xelajú, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Aurora.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Xelajú 3–1 Aurora. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aurora 0 wins, Xelajú 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.5 xG, Xelajú 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 34%, draw 23%, Xelajú 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aurora34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Xelajú43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
3.17Expected goals
1.48Aurora xG
1.69Xelajú xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Aurora 1.5 – 1.7 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXelajú to win ✗43%2.342.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.70 ▲
Draw no betXelajú (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapAurora +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreXelajú to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

Aurora – last 6

LLWLLL
5 Oct@ Guastatoya1–2L
27 Sep@ Cobán Imperial2–3L
19 Sepvs Marquense1–0W
13 Sep@ Mixco2–3L
10 Sepvs Municipal1–2L
5 Sep@ Antigua GFC1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Xelajú – last 6

WLWDLD
4 Octvs Deportivo San Pedro2–0W
27 Sepvs Comunicaciones2–3L
24 Sepvs Antigua GFC4–0W
21 Sep@ Suchitepéquez2–2D
14 Sep@ Guastatoya1–2L
11 Sepvs Cobán Imperial0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Aug 2026Xelajú v Aurora3–1
8 Mar 2026Aurora v Xelajú0–0
Aurora vs Xelajú head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Xelajú?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Aurora vs Xelajú?

On our numbers Aurora have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xelajú 43%.

How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Xelajú?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Xelajú?

Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Aurora vs Xelajú?

Aurora vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.